MIL-HDBK-1013/12

<1> **For Each Likely Aggressor. **For the asset under consideration,

do steps <2> through <11> for each aggressor identified on the

Start

AVAL worksheet (see Appendix B for all worksheets). When

done, return to Figure D-9.

<2> **Determine Asset Profile. **Evaluate this factor using Table D-14

<1> For Each

for the potential aggressor. Record the numerical value in the

*Done*

Likely Aggressor

asset profile column of the AVAL worksheet. Proceed to <3>.

<3> **Determine Asset Usefulness to Aggressor. **Select the

*Next*

applicable usefulness of asset factor table using Table D-15.

From the applicable table, evaluate the factor for the potential

<2> Determine

Stop

aggressor and record the numerical value in the usefulness

Asset Profile

column of the AVAL worksheet. Proceed to <4>.

<4> **Determine Asset Availability. **Evaluate this factor using Table

<3> Determine

D-18 for the potential aggressor. Record the numerical value in

Asset Usefulness

the asset availability column of the AVAL worksheet. Proceed to

to Aggressor

<5>.

<5> **Evaluate Local Incidents in the Past. **Evaluate this factor

using Table D-19 for the potential aggressor. Record the

<4> Determine

numerical value in the local incidents column of the AVAL

Asset Availability

worksheet. Proceed to <6>.

<6> **Evaluate Nearby Incidents in the Past. **Evaluate this factor

<5> Evaluate

using Table D-20 for the potential aggressor. Record the

Local Incidents in

numerical value in the nearby incidents column of the AVAL

the Past

worksheet. Proceed to <7>.

<7> **Determine Potential for Future Incidents. **Evaluate this factor

<6> Evaluate

using Table D-21 for the potential aggressor. Record the

Nearby Incidents

numerical value in the potential incidents column of the AVAL

in the Past

worksheet. Proceed to <8>.

<8> **Determine Asset Accessibility. **Select the applicable asset

<7> Determine

accessibility factor table using Table D-22. From the applicable

Potential for

table, evaluate the factor for the potential aggressor and record

Future Incidents

the numerical value in the accessibility column of the AVAL

worksheet. Proceed to <9>.

<9> **Evaluate Effectiveness of Law Enforcement. **Evaluate this

<8> Determine

Asset

factor using

Accessibility

<10> Table **D-27 **for the potential aggressor. Record the numerical

value in the law enforcement effectiveness column of the AVAL

<9> Evaluate

worksheet. Proceed to <10>.

Effectiveness of

<11> **Evaluate Deterrence. **Evaluate this factor using Table D-28 for

Law Enforcement

the potential aggressor. Record the numerical value in the

deterrence column of the AVAL worksheet. Proceed to <11>.

<12> **Compute Likelihood Rating. **Sum the numerical values

<10> Evaluate

associated with the nine applicable likelihood rating factors and

Deterrence

compare them to the ranges of sums in Table **D-29 **to select a

likelihood rating. Enter the sums of the likelihood rating factors

and the applicable likelihood rating in the spaces provided on the

<11> Compute

AVAL worksheet. Aggressors whose likelihood rating is very low

Likelihood Rating

do not pose a significant threat and should receive no further

consideration. Proceed to <1> for next potential aggressor.

**Figure D-12**

Process Chart: Likelihood of Aggression

194