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Economic Analysis Handbook
Economic Analysis Handbook
Distribution List
Foreword
Acknowledgements
Customer Feedback Form
Table of Contents
Table of Contents -Cont.
Table of Contents -Cont.
Introduction
Handbook's Purpose
Why Economic Analysis is Needed
Policy and Guidance
Summary
Summary -Cont.
The Economic Analysis Process
Define the Objective
Generate Alternatives
Formulate Assumptions
Formulate Assumptions -Cont.
Determine Costs and Benefits
Compare Costs and Benefits and Rank Alternatives
Perform Sensitivity Analysis
Fundamental Planning Analysis
Fundamental Planning Analysis -Cont.
Fundamental Planning Analysis -Cont.
Design Analysis
Preparation and Review Responsibilities
Lessons Learned from the Process
Impact of NO EA Submittal
Basic Economic Analysis Techniques
Determining the Economic Life
Economic Life Guidelines
Understanding Compound Interest and Future Values
Compound Interest,One Year
Compound Interest, "N" Years
Present Value and Cumulative Present Value Factors
Present Value and Cumulative Present Value Factors -Cont.
Present Value and Cumulative Present Value Factors -Cont.
Present Value and Cumulative Present Value Factors -Cont.
Present Value and Cumulative Present Value Factors -Cont.
Equivalence
Savings to Investment Ratio (SIR)
Savings to Investment Ratio (SIR) -Cont.
Savings to Investment Ratio (SIR) -Cont.
The Discounted Payback Period
The Discounted Payback Period -Cont.
The Discounted Payback Period -Cont.
The Discounted Payback Period -Cont.
The Discounted Payback Period -Cont.
Methods of Comparison for Type II Economic Analyses
Net Present Value (NPV) Comparison
Uniform Annual Cost
Uniform Annual Cost -Cont.
Uniform Annual Cost -Cont.
Uniform Annual Cost -Cont.
Slippage
Slippage -Cont.
Slippage -Cont.
Efficiency/Productivity to Investment Ratio
Efficiency/Productivity to Investment Ratio -Cont.
Efficiency/Productivity to Investment Ratio -Cont.
Chapter 4 Life Cycle Cost Analysis
Point of View
Good Data Means Good Analysis
One-Time Costs
One-Time Costs -Cont.
Residual or Terminal Value
Recurring Annual Costs
Recurring Personnel Costs
Recurring Personnel Costs -Cont.
State Costs in Constant Dollars of the Base Year
Cost-Estimating Methods
Parametric Cost Estimating
Parametric Cost Estimating -Cont.
Analogy Method
Leave A Clear Audit Trail of the Cost Estimates
Leave A Clear Audit Trail of the Cost Estimates -Cont.
Leave A Clear Audit Trail of the Cost Estimates -Cont.
Leave A Clear Audit Trail of the Cost Estimates -Cont.
Chapter 5 Benefit Analysis
Direct Cost Savings
Direct Cost Savings -Cont.
Efficiency/Productivity Increases
Efficiency/Productivity Increases -Cont.
Other Quantifiable Output Measures
Other Quantifiable Output Measures -Cont.
Other Quantifiable Output Measures -Cont.
Other Quantifiable Output Measures -Cont.
Other Quantifiable Output Measures -Cont.
Non-Quantifiable Outputs
Externalities
Benefit Documentation
Summary
Chapter 6 Treatment of Inflation
Measuring Inflation and Cost Escalation
Near Term Versus Long Term Escalation
Near Term Versus Long Term Escalation -Cont.
Near Term Versus Long Term Escalation -Cont.
Table 6A Hypothetical Near-Term Escalation Guidance
Near Term Versus Long Term Escalation -Cont.
Near Term Versus Long Term Escalation -Cont.
Treatment of Inflation During the Project Life
Outlay Dollar Analysis
Table 6B Outlay Dollar Cash Flow
Outlay Dollar Analyses
Summary and Comments
Summary and Comments -Cont.
Chapter 7 Sensitivity Analysis
What is Sensitivity Analyses?
One Variable Uncertainty Tests
Figure 7A Example 7A Graph
One Variable Uncertainty Tests -Cont.
One Variable Uncertainty Tests -Cont.
Break-Even Analysis
Break-Even Analysis -Cont.
Break-Even Analysis -Cont.
Figure 7C Cash Flow Diagrams for Example 7D
Break-Even Analysis -Cont.
Figure 7D Graph for Example 7D
Break-Even Analysis -Cont.
Break-Even Analysis -Cont.
Two Variable Uncertainty Tests
Two Variable Uncertainty Tests -Cont.
Figure 7F Graph Example 7F
Figure 7G Graph Example 7G
Operation Compare:Bivariate Break-Even Analysis
Figure 7H Graph Example 7H
Expected Value
Expected Value-Cont.
Risk Analysis and Monte Carlo Simulation
Risk Analysis and Monte Carlo Simulation -Cont.
Figure 7J 7J Solution Tree Diagram
Operation Widget: Monte Carlo Simulation
Table 7B,Random Numbers Uniformly Distributed Between Zero and One
Table 7C MonteCarlo Simulation
Figure 7K Graph for Example 7K
Figure 7L Graph for Example 7K
Figure 7M Graph for Example 7K
Chapter 8 Documentation Standards
Documentation Formats and Tools
The Future of Economic Analysis
Economic Analysis Submission Outline
Economic Analysis Submission Outline -Cont.
Checklist for Analysts and Reviewers
The Benefit Determination
The Sensitivity Analysis
Lessons Learned From Program Budget Reviews
Lessons Learned From Program Budget Reviews -Cont.
Appendix A EA Policy Instructions
Basic Economic Analysis Instructions
Energy Policy Directives
Commercial /Industrial Policy Directives
Information Systems Policy
Computer Application Instruction
Appendix B Formats For EA Submissions
Appendix B Formats For EA Submissions -Cont.
Appendix B Formats For EA Submissions -Cont.
Type 1 Economic Analysis Summary of Costs
Type 1 Economic Analysis Summary of Costs -Cont.
Type 1 Economic Analysis Summary of Costs -Cont.
Summary of Outputs For Economic Analysis
Summary of Outputs For Economic Analysis -Cont.
Infeasible Alternatives
Infeasible Alternatives -Cont.
Appendix C PV Tables and Formulae
Appendix C PV Tables and Formulae -Cont.
Appendix C PV Tables and Formulae -Cont.
Appendix C PV Tables and Formulae -Cont.
Appendix C PV Tables and Formulae -Cont.
Appendix C PV Tables and Formulae -Cont.
Appendix C PV Tables and Formulae -Cont.
Appendix C PV Tables and Formulae -Cont.
Graph of Table A Single Amount Discount Factors
Table C Coversion Table Savings/Investment Ratio to Discounted Payback Period
Table C Coversion Table Savings/Investment Ratio to Discounted Payback Period -Cont.
Present Value Formulae
Present Value Formulae -Cont.
Present Value Formulae -Cont.
Appendix D EA For Self-Amortizing Unspecified Minor Milcon Projects
UMM Projects--General Background
Economic Analyses in Support of UMM Projects
Economic Analyses in Support of UMM Projects -Cont.
Caveat
Caveat -Cont.
Cost Analysis for Unspecified Minor Milcon Project P-999
Cost Analysis for Unspecified Minor Milcon Project P-999 -Cont.
Other Cosiderations
Economic Analysis Department of the Navy Investments Summary of Project Costs
Source/Derivation of Cost Estimates
Operation and Maintenance Costs
Annual Costs For The Remaining Two Years
Annual Costs For The Remaining Two Years -Cont.
Economic Analysis -Department of the Navy Investments Summary of Project Costs
Economic Analysis -Department of the Navy Investments Summary of Project Costs -Cont.
Investment Costs
Appendix E Guideliness for Energy-Related Analyses
Introduction
ECIP and ETAP
Department of Energy Life Cycle Costing Rules
Department of Energy Life Cycle Costing Rules -Cont.
Department of Energy Life Cycle Costing Rules -Cont.
DOE Rules- Present Worth Formula
Executive Order 12759-Federal Energy Management
Executive Order 12759-Federal Energy Management -Cont.
Executive Order 12759-Federal Energy Management -Cont.
Energy Conservation Investment Program Guidance
Energy Conservation Investment Program Guidance -Cont.
Energy Conservation Investment Program Guidance -Cont.
Programming Criteria
Economic Analysis
Project Documentation
ECIP Annual Report Summary
FY 1991 Energy Conservation Investment Program
Energy Conservation Investment Program Guidance
Life Cycle Cost Analysis Guidance
Life Cycle Cost Analysis Guidance -Cont.
ECIP Life Cycle Cost Analysis Summary
Energy Conservation Project Types
ECIP Life Cycle Cost Analysis Summary -Cont.
Energy Conservation Investment Program Guidance
Energy Cost Avoidance Program
Submittal Documentation
Completion Documentation
Completion Documentation -Cont.
Post Construction Validation Report
Post Construction Validation Report -Cont.
Simple Economic Analysis
Energy Prices and Discount Factors for Life-Cycle Cost Analysis
Preface
Preface -Cont.
Notice
Example of How to Use the Escalation Rates
Example of How to Use the Escalation Rates -Cont.
Table Cb-1. Projected Average Fuel Price Escalation Rates
Table Cb-2. Projected Average Fuel Price Escalation Rates
Table Cb-3. Projected Average Fuel Price Escalation Rates
Table Cb-4. Projected Average Fuel Price Escalation Rates
Table Cb-5. Projected Average Fuel Price Escalation Rates
Table D. Factors for Updating Appliance Label Values
Appendix F Family Housing Revitalization
Introduction
Economic Analysis (EA) Guidance for Family Housing Revitalization
Economic Analysis (EA) Guidance for Family Housing Revitalization -Cont.
Economic Analysis Guidance
Economic Analysis Guidance -Cont.
Economic Analysis Guidance -Cont.
Family Housing Inflation Rates
Revised Discount Factor
Economic Analysis (EA) Guidance for Family Housing Revitalization
Economic Analysis (EA) Guidance for Family Housing Revitalization
Economic Analysis (EA) Guidance for Family Housing Revitalization
Economic Analysis format
Submission Requirements
Military Family Housing Analysis
Cash Flow Analysis
Cash Flow Analyses-Revitalization
Cash Flow Analyses-Replacement Construction
Cash Flow Analyses-Direct Compensation
Cost Elements of The Economic Analysis
Revitalization Alternative
Replacement Alternative
Moving Costs
Demolition/Direct Compensation
Demolition/Direct Compensation -Cont.
Periodic Maintenance, Repair, and Replacement Costs
Periodic Maintenance, Repair, and Replacement Costs Alternative 2- Revitalization
Periodic Maintenance, Repair, and Replacement Costs Alternative 3- Replacement
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix G Glossary of Economic Analysis Related Terms -Cont.
Appendix H Bibliography
Appendix H Bibliography -Cont.
Appendix H Bibliography -Cont.
Appendix H Bibliography -Cont.
Appendix H Bibliography -Cont.
Appendix I Index
Appendix I Index -Cont.
Appendix I Index -Cont.
Appendix I Index -Cont.
Appendix I Index -Cont.
Economic Analysis Handbook
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